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世界核电工业发展及地理格局综合解析
引用本文:张晓平,陆大道,陈明星,高珊珊,吴爱萍.世界核电工业发展及地理格局综合解析[J].地理研究,2021,40(3):673-688.
作者姓名:张晓平  陆大道  陈明星  高珊珊  吴爱萍
作者单位:中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京100049;中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101;中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京100101;中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京100049
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41771133,41822104);中国科学院青年创新促进会项目(2017072)。
摘    要:核电工业的发展和布局,与国际气候变化谈判、地缘政治和国家安全、以及国家竞争优势等密切相关,对全球核电工业空间格局演变及国家核电产业竞争力的研究具有重要的理论与实践意义。基于世界34个核电国家和198座核电厂数据,本文首先梳理了世界核电工业的发展阶段和空间布局;进一步运用综合评价指标体系、弦图、网络拓扑关系图,从产业链和贸易网络角度综合评价国家核电产业竞争力,从而对世界核电工业地理格局进行了多维度剖析。结果表明:核电在发达国家能源生产中的比例总体呈下降趋势;核电工业宏观布局现以欧美为主,但亚洲正成为全球核电工业布局的重心区域;全球核电厂微观区位布局主要靠近电力需求集中的人口和经济密集区;国家间核电产业竞争力差异显著,国家地位呈现明显的等级体系和中心-外围结构,地缘邻近性和集团化特征明显,美国、俄罗斯等核电强国居垄断地位。本研究以期为中国核电产业发展提供国际经验借鉴,并从增强核电产业链核心环节竞争力的角度提出建议。

关 键 词:核电工业  核电站  世界地理  产业链  综合竞争力
收稿时间:2020-08-07

Comprehensive analysis of world geography of nuclear power industry
ZHANG Xiaoping,LU Dadao,CHEN Mingxing,GAO Shanshan,WU Aiping.Comprehensive analysis of world geography of nuclear power industry[J].Geographical Research,2021,40(3):673-688.
Authors:ZHANG Xiaoping  LU Dadao  CHEN Mingxing  GAO Shanshan  WU Aiping
Institution:1. College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China3. Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
Abstract:The development of nuclear power industry is closely related to international climate change negotiation,global production chain,geopolitics and national security,as well as national industrial competitiveness.Therefore,it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the spatial evolution and national competitiveness of nuclear power industry.After outlining the evolving stages of nuclear power industry in the world,this paper analyzed the geographical characteristics of nuclear power industry from both national perspective in the whole world and locational perspective of 198 nuclear power plants in different countries.Furthermore,the competitive advantages of the nuclear power industry of 34 nuclear power countries in operation were evaluated by combining the comprehensive evaluation indicators with the complex network analysis of trade flows between countries.The competitive differences among countries were also compared from the detailed aspects of the support capacity of ore minerals,nuclear equipment and parts,and the scale capacity of nuclear power plants in operation.The main results are as follows.Firstly,there are great differences among countries towards the development strategy of nuclear power industry.Although the global nuclear power capacities in operation are mainly concentrated in the developed countries currently,Asia will become the center of global nuclear power industry in near future with the expansion of nuclear power capacities in Asian countries.Secondly,the nuclear power plants are mainly located in regions close to the densely populated areas that have a large demand of electricity,even though the physical geography and economic level vary greatly among countries.Thirdly,the global trade networks of nuclear reactors and parts show an obvious hierarchical system and a core-periphery structure,indicating that the competitiveness and centrality of main nuclear power countries are more powerful.On the whole,the United States,Russia,Canada,France and China rank among the top five countries in terms of comprehensive competitiveness in nuclear power industry.Finally,suggestions for the developmental strategy of China's nuclear power industry are provided.With the emergence of new nuclear power countries and expanding demand markets of nuclear energy,the balance and the flow pattern of the existing international nuclear power industry will be reconstructed,which urges China to make a comprehensive plan and strategic pathway for its nuclear power industry development with special attention being paid to the whole production chain.
Keywords:nuclear power industry  nuclear power plant  world geography  production chain  comprehensive competitiveness
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