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采用条件分位数调整法合并二类气候代用资料的初步分析*
引用本文:吴祥定,潘一民.采用条件分位数调整法合并二类气候代用资料的初步分析*[J].地理研究,1995,14(3):59-68.
作者姓名:吴祥定  潘一民
作者单位:1. 中国科学院、国家计划委员会地理研究所 北京 100101;2. 中国科学院应用数学研究所 北京 100080
摘    要:本文采用条件分位数调整法,对二类气候代用资料,华山树木年轮年表和西安旱涝等级序列进行合并尝试,既最大限度地利用在年轮资料中的连续变化信息,又能使历史文献资料可以与其相互补充、校准,从而使得合并出来的序列更有助于对过去气候的重建。

关 键 词:条件分位数  气候  代用资料  
收稿时间:1994-12-07
修稿时间:1995-04-19

A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON COMBINING TWO KINDS OF PROXY DATA USING THE CONDITIONAL QUANTILE ADJUSTMENT METHOD
Wu Xiangding,Liu Hongbin.A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON COMBINING TWO KINDS OF PROXY DATA USING THE CONDITIONAL QUANTILE ADJUSTMENT METHOD[J].Geographical Research,1995,14(3):59-68.
Authors:Wu Xiangding  Liu Hongbin
Institution:1. Institute of Geography, CAS, Beijing100101;2. Institute of Applied Mathematics, CAS, Bejing 100080
Abstract:Based on two kinds of proxy data,a tree-ring width chronology at Huashan and the wet-ness/dryness grade series around Xian in north-central China,this present study demon-strates how different types of proxy climate records can be combined to give a more reliableestimate of the climate in the past than either record candoindividually,With comparison andcorrection of the two data sets, various statistical models can be developed from individualand combined series. Among them, the best combined model produced by the conditionalquantile adjustment method can be selected for reconstruction of April-July rainfall atHuashan back to 1600A.D.
Keywords:Conditional quantile  Climate  Proxy data
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