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Evidences for a quasi 60-year North Atlantic Oscillation since 1700 and its meaning for global climate change |
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| Authors: | Adriano Mazzarella Nicola Scafetta |
| Institution: | 1. Meteorological Observatory, Department of Earth Science, University of Naples Federico II, Largo S. Marcellino, 10 80138, Naples, Italy 2. Active Cavity Radiometer Irradiance Monitor (ACRIM) Lab, Coronado, CA, 92118, USA 3. Duke University, Durham, NC, 27708, USA |
| Abstract: | The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) obtained using instrumental and documentary proxy predictors from Eurasia is found to be characterized by a quasi 60-year dominant oscillation since 1650. This pattern emerges clearly once the NAO record is time integrated to stress its comparison with the temperature record. The integrated NAO (INAO) is found to well correlate with the length of the day (since 1650) and the global surface sea temperature record HadSST2 and HadSST3 (since 1850). These findings suggest that INAO can be used as a good proxy for global climate change, and that a ~60-year cycle exists in the global climate since at least 1700. Finally, the INAO ~60-year oscillation well correlates with the ~60-year oscillations found in the historical European aurora record since 1700, which suggests that this ~60-year dominant climatic cycle has a solar–astronomical origin. |
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