| 农业气象灾害损失评估方法及其在产量预报中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 宫德吉,陈素华.农业气象灾害损失评估方法及其在产量预报中的应用[J].应用气象学报,1999,10(1):66-71. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 宫德吉 陈素华 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1.内蒙古气候中心(宫德吉)，内蒙古农牧气象中心(陈素华) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 该文提出了以无气象灾害时农作物应当达到的期望产量为基础来评估农业气象灾害损失的问题。介绍了期望产量和因灾减产量的确定方法，依据因灾减产量与相应年份农作物不同生长期所发生的气象灾害的强度、覆盖度以及作物对灾害的敏感度等关系，建立起因灾减产量的结构型统计评估模式。
|
| 关 键 词： | 期望产量 灾害覆盖度 敏感度 损失评估 产量预报 |
A Loss Estimation Method for Agrometeorological Disasters and Its Application in Yield Prediction |
| |
| Gong Deji.A Loss Estimation Method for Agrometeorological Disasters and Its Application in Yield Prediction[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,1999,10(1):66-71. |
| |
| Authors: | Gong Deji |
| |
| Institution: | 1.1) (Inner Mongolia Climatic Center, Hohhot 010051); 2) (Inner Mongolia Agromrtrorological Center, Hohhot 010051) |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on the expected yield without meteorological damages, a loss estimation method for agrometeorological disasters was introduced. The determinations of expected yield and its reduction by disasters were also discussed. By analysing the relationship between the yield reduction and several factors including intensity of disasters, influenced area and crop sensitivity to disasters, a constructure based statistical model to estimate the yield reduction by damages was established. |
| |
| Keywords: | Expected yield Disaster influenced area Sensitivity Loss estimation Yield prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《应用气象学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《应用气象学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
