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Investigating the time dynamics of monthly rainfall time series observed in northern Lebanon by means of the detrended fluctuation analysis and the Fisher-Shannon method |
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| Authors: | Michele Lovallo Amin Shaban Talal Darwich Luciano Telesca |
| Institution: | 1. Agenzia Regionale per la Protezione dell’Ambiente (ARPAB), Potenza, Italy 2. Conseil National des Recherches Scientifiques (CNRS), Beirut, Lebanon 3. National Research Council, Institute of Methodologies for Environmental Analysis, Tito, Italy |
| Abstract: | We investigate the time dynamics of monthly rainfall series intermittently recorded on seven climatic stations in northern Lebanon from 1939 to 2010 using the detrending fluctuation analysis (DFA) and the Fisher-Shannon (FS) method. The DFA is employed to study the scaling properties of the series, while the FS method to analyze their order/organization structure. The obtained results indicate that most all the stations show a significant persistent behavior, suggesting that the dynamics of the rainfall series is governed by positive feedback mechanisms. Furthermore, we found that the Fisher Information Measure (the Shannon entropy power) seems to decrease (increase) with the height of the rain gauge; this indicates that the rainfall series appear less organized and less regular for higher-located stations. Such findings could be useful for a better comprehension of the climatic regimes governing northern Lebanon. |
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