| 用模糊均生函数作区域夏季旱涝预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 俞炳启,胡洛林.用模糊均生函数作区域夏季旱涝预测[J].气象,1995,21(12):32-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 俞炳启 胡洛林 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏省气象台 |
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| 摘 要： | 用模糊均生函数建模方案建立宁镇的地区夏季旱涝趋势预测模型，其拟合效果，特别是对大旱大涝的拟合十分理想。１９９４年用该模型预测宁镇地区梅雨量，结果与实况较为接近。
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊均生函数 旱涝 预测 暴雨 夏季 |
Regional Prediction of Summer Floods/Droughts with Fuzzy Mean Generating Function Model |
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| Yu Bingqi, Hu Luolin.Regional Prediction of Summer Floods/Droughts with Fuzzy Mean Generating Function Model[J].Meteorological Monthly,1995,21(12):32-34. |
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| Authors: | Yu Bingqi Hu Luolin |
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| Abstract: | prediction model for summer floods/droughts in the Nanjing-Zhengjiang region by fuzzy mean generating function is developed. The model is satisfactory, especially in cases of severe floods/droughts. The results of the precipitation prediction in this region during the Meiyu period in 1994 is close to actual precipitation. |
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| Keywords: | uzzy mean generating function floods/droughts prediction |
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