Probabilities and distribution of monsoon rainfall in normal, flood and drought years over India |
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Authors: | C V Singh |
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Institution: | (1) Centre for Energy Studies, Indian Institute of Technology, Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, India, IN |
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Abstract: | Summary
The paper deals with the variability of summer-monsoon rainfall during normal, flood and drought years over India. During
flood years the monsoon rainfall increases mostly all over parts of the country and large area less than 100 cm isohytel covers
Orissa and adjoining Madhya Pradesh. During drought years the rainfall amount decreases over the entire country and isohytel
of 100 cm shrinks to almost a point. The variability of monsoon rainfall from flood to normal to drought years depends upon
the number of depression/low-pressure area which form over the North Bay and move inland. To understand the intraseasonal
and interannual variability of the monsoon rainfall, daily and seasonal anomalies has been performed by using the Empirical
Orthogonal Function analysis. Further Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis is carried out on these data to find out
the nature of rainfall distribution in different monsoon categories namely normal, flood and drought years. This technique
thus serves to identify spatial and temporal patterns characteristics of possible physical significance.
Received July 25, 2000/Revised September 26, 2000 |
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