| Neyman-Pearson决策准则及在海洋风暴潮预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐凌宇,石绥祥.Neyman-Pearson决策准则及在海洋风暴潮预报中的应用[J].海洋科学进展,2005,23(4):493-497. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐凌宇 石绥祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海大学,计算机工程与科学学院,上海,200072;国家海洋信息中心,天津,300171 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技攻关项目--海洋可持续发展信息共享子课题（2001BA608B-0808） |
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| 摘 要： | 给出了Neyman-Pearson全局预报方法，以期在保持一给定虚警率的前提下提高预报率。增加了算法的实用性，使算法能够适合真实环境。该方法用于海洋风暴潮预报，能够较好地平衡预报率与虚警率间的关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 信息融合 Nerman-Pearson法则 预报率 虚警率 风暴潮预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-6647(2005)04-0493-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-02-19 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年2月19日 |
Neyman-Pearson Decision Criterion and Its Application in Forecasting Marine Storm Surge |
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| XU Ling-yu,SHI Sui-xiang.Neyman-Pearson Decision Criterion and Its Application in Forecasting Marine Storm Surge[J].Advances in Marine Science,2005,23(4):493-497. |
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| Authors: | XU Ling-yu SHI Sui-xiang |
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| Institution: | 1. College of Computer Engneering and Science, Shanghai University, Shanghai 110006, China ; 2. National Marine Data and Information Service, SOA, Tianjin 300171, China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, a Neyman-Pearson overall forecast method is developed to improve the forecast rate on the promise of keeping a given false warning rate. This forecast method is more practical and can he suited to the actual environment. This method has been used to forecast the marine storm surge, and it is shown from the forecast results that the method can coordinate the balance between forecast rate and false warning rate. |
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| Keywords: | information fusion Neyman-Pearson criterion forecast rate false warning rate storm surge forecast |
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