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新疆水文水资源变化及对区域气候变化的响应
引用本文:徐长春,陈亚宁,杨余辉,郝兴明,沈永平.新疆水文水资源变化及对区域气候变化的响应[J].地理学报(英文版),2010,20(4):599-612.
作者姓名:徐长春  陈亚宁  杨余辉  郝兴明  沈永平
基金项目:National Natural Science Foundation of China,Knowledge Innovation Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Open Foundation of Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology and Desert Environment
摘    要:

关 键 词:新疆北部地区  区域气候变化  区域水文  水资源变化  年平均温度  地表径流量  降水资料  洪峰流量
收稿时间:16 December 2005

Hydrology and water resources variation and its response to regional climate change in Xinjiang
Changchun?Xu,Yaning?Chen,Yuhui?Yang,Xingming?Hao,Yongping?Shen.Hydrology and water resources variation and its response to regional climate change in Xinjiang[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2010,20(4):599-612.
Authors:Changchun Xu  Yaning Chen  Yuhui Yang  Xingming Hao  Yongping Shen
Institution:1. Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology and Desert Environment, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,CAS, Urumqi 830011, China;Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology, School of Resources and Environmental Science, Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830046, China
2. Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology and Desert Environment, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,CAS, Urumqi 830011, China
3. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, CAS, Lanzhou 730000, China
Abstract:Based on the surface runoff, temperature and precipitation data over the last 50 years from eight representative rivers in Xinjiang, using Mann-Kendall trend and jump detection method, the paper investigated the long-term trend and jump point of time series, the surface runoff, mean annual temperature and annual precipitation. Meanwhile, the paper analyzed the relationship between runoff and temperature and precipitation, and the flood frequency and peak flow. Results showed that climate of all parts of Xinjiang conformably has experienced an increase in temperature and precipitation since the mid-1980s. Northern Xinjiang was the area that changed most significantly followed by southern and eastern Xinjiang. Affected by temperature and precipitation variation, river runoff had changed both inter-annually and intra-annually. The surface runoff of most rivers has increased significantly since the early 1990s, and some of them have even witnessed the earlier spring floods, later summer floods and increasing flood peaks. The variation characteristics were closely related with the replenishment types of rivers. Flood frequency and peak flow increased all over Xinjiang. Climate warming has had an effect on the regional hydrological cycle.
Keywords:hydrology and water resources  climate change  Xinjiang
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