| 强震时-空综合概率增益模型与中长期预测方法效能研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王晓青,吕金霞,丁香.强震时-空综合概率增益模型与中长期预测方法效能研究[J].中国地震,2002,18(4):346-355. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王晓青 吕金霞 丁香 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国,北京,100036,中国地震局分析预报中心 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国地震局“九五”科研攻关项目(95 0 7 0 4 0 3 )部分资助，中希合作项目成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在介绍强震时-空概率增益综合预测模型与单项地震预测方法效能评价指标的基础上，给出了各种中长期预测方法的概率增益统计值和预测效能R值。并对结果进行了讨论。
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| 关 键 词： | 中长期预测 综合概率增益模型 预测效能 地震预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-4683(2002)04-0346-10 |
The Spatial-Temporal Synthetical Probability Gain Model and the Study of Efficiency of Medium- and Long-Term Earthquake Prediction Methods |
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| Wang Xiaoqing,Lu Jinxia,Ding Xiang.The Spatial-Temporal Synthetical Probability Gain Model and the Study of Efficiency of Medium- and Long-Term Earthquake Prediction Methods[J].Earthquake Research in China,2002,18(4):346-355. |
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| Authors: | Wang Xiaoqing Lu Jinxia Ding Xiang |
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| Abstract: | The spatial\|temporal synthetical probability gain model and the assessment method of the efficiency of earthquake prediction methods are introduced, then the statistical results of probability gains and R values used for the assessment of predicting efficiency of medium and long term earthquake prediction methods are presented and discussed. |
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| Keywords: | Medium and long term earthquake prediction Synthetical probability gain model Predicting efficiency |
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