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安庆市近十年短时强降水特征及天气学模型
作者姓名:张丽
作者单位:安庆市气象局
摘    要:利用2005-2017年安庆市8个国家气象观测站逐时降水量资料以及高空探测资料,分析安庆市短时强降水的时空分布特征,并建立安庆市短时强降水天气学模型。结果表明: 短时强降水空间分布城郊差异明显,以城区次数为最多,其次是山区。短时强降水过程的年发生总站次没有明显的线性变化趋势,但有较大差异;月发生站次以7月为最多,其次是6月和8月;日分布具有明显的单峰型特征,午后到傍晚为高发时段。短时强降水强度以20~30mm/h为主,超过50mm/h的较少,但总体上出现次数呈增加趋势,并且强度也有所增强。短时强降水天气模型主要分为冷锋型、短波槽型、台风低压型、副高控制型,以短波槽型占比为最多,每个类型短时强降水的触发机制均不相同,但大部分均存在高低空急流或者超低空急流;本地具有湿层深厚和大气层结不稳定特征。

关 键 词:短时强降水  时空分布  天气学模型
收稿时间:2019/1/9 0:00:00
修稿时间:2019/3/4 0:00:00

Characteristics of short-term heavy rainfall and its meteorological model in Anqing City, Anhui Province in the past ten years
Authors:zhangli
Institution:Anqing Meteorological Bureau
Abstract:Based on the hourly precipitation data and high-altitude detection data of 9 meteorological stations in Anqing City from 2005 to 2014, we analysis the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of short-term heavy precipitation in Anqing City, and established a meteorological model of short-term heavy precipitation. The conclusion is as follows:The spatial distribution of short-term heavy precipitation weather is obvious, with the most urban areas, followed by mountains and plains.There is no obvious linear change in the annual total station time of the short-term heavy precipitation process, but there is a big difference.The station appeared most frequently in July, followed by June and August; the daily distribution showed obvious unimodal characteristics, which was a prone period from noon to evening. The intensity of short-term heavy precipitation in Anqing City is mainly 20-30 mm/hour, and the times more than 50 mm / hour is few ,however, the overall number of occurrences has increased and the intensity has increased.The short-term heavy precipitation weather model can be divided into cold front type, short wave trough type, typhoon low voltage type and sub high control type , among which short wave trough type accounts for the most. The triggering mechanism of each type of short-term heavy precipitation varies, such as low-level shear lines, cold air or ground convergence lines. Most of them have high-altitude jets or ultra-low-level jets, which have provided sufficient water vapor and strong rise movement; the local wet layer is deep and the atmosphere is unstable.
Keywords:Short-time heavy precipitation  Temporal and spatial distribution  weather model
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