| 多因子交叉相关建立雨季开始期预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 尹文有,王建华.多因子交叉相关建立雨季开始期预测模型[J].云南地理环境研究,2004(Z1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 尹文有 王建华 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南省石屏县气象局 云南省石屏县气象局 云南石屏 云南石屏 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过分析云南省石屏站30年历史资料,采用多因子交叉相关方法建立雨季开始期预测模型,并对该模型进行检验,预测定性准确率为28/32。同时,对2003、2004年雨季开始期进行了试报,预测与实况吻合。
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| 关 键 词： | 多因子交叉相关 雨季开始期 模型 |
PATTERN OF MORE INTERSECTING AND INTERRELATED FACTORS FOR FORECASTING THE BEGINNING DATE OF FLOOD SEASON |
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| YIN Wen-you,WANG Jian-hua.PATTERN OF MORE INTERSECTING AND INTERRELATED FACTORS FOR FORECASTING THE BEGINNING DATE OF FLOOD SEASON[J].Yunnan Geographic Environment Research,2004(Z1). |
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| Authors: | YIN Wen-you WANG Jian-hua |
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| Abstract: | Based on the history data during 30 years in shiping, set up a pattern of more intersecting and interrelated factors for forecasting the beginning dat e of flood season. The result showed that the prediction accuracy was 28/32,and the calculation was consistent with observations. |
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| Keywords: | more factors beginning date of flood season pattern |
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