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基于模糊概率的多层砖房震害预测
引用本文:刘章军,叶燎原.基于模糊概率的多层砖房震害预测[J].地震研究,2007,30(1):99-104.
作者姓名:刘章军  叶燎原
作者单位:1. 三峡大学土木水电学院,湖北,宜昌,443002;同济大学建筑工程系,上海,200092
2. 云南大学,昆明,650091
摘    要:将模糊数学中的模糊概率理论运用于震害预测中,并建立了多层砖房的震害预测模型。研究表明,该预测模型概念清晰、计算简单,具有较好的合理性与实用性,是一种较为精细的预测方法。

关 键 词:模糊概率  多层砖房  震害预测
文章编号:1000-0666-(2007)01-0099-06
修稿时间:2006-06-20

Earthquake Damage Prediction of Multistorey Brick Buildings Based on Fuzzy Probability
LIU Zhang-jun,YE Liao-yuan.Earthquake Damage Prediction of Multistorey Brick Buildings Based on Fuzzy Probability[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2007,30(1):99-104.
Authors:LIU Zhang-jun  YE Liao-yuan
Abstract:The theory of fuzzy probability has been used in the earthquake damage prediction in the paper, and a prediction model of multistory brick buildings is established. The study shows that this prediction model has features of clear concept, simple calculation and better reasonability and practicability, is a fine prediction method.
Keywords:fuzzy probability  multistory brick buildings  seismic damage prediction
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