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Projected Changes in Kppen Climate Types in the 21st Century over China
作者姓名:SHI Ying  GAO Xue-Jie  WU Jia
基金项目:supported by the Special Research Program for Public-Welfare Forestry(Grant No.200804001);the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2009CB421407)
摘    要:Future changes in the climate regimes over China as measured by the Kppen climate classification are reported in this paper. The analysis is based on a high-resolution climate change simulation conducted by a regional climate model (the Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) RegCM3) driven by the global model of Center for Climate System Research (CCSR)/National Institute for Environment Studies (NIES)/Frontier Research Center for Global Change (FRCGC) MIROC3.2_hires (the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate) under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario. Validation of the model performances is presented first. The results show that RegCM3 reproduces the present-day distribution of the Kppen climate types well. Significant changes of the types are found in the future over China, following the simulated warming and precipitation changes. In southern China, the change is characterized by the replacement of subtropical humid (Cr) by subtropical winter-dry (Cw). A pronounced decrease of the cold climate types is found over China, e.g., tundra (Ft) over the Tibetan Plateau and sub-arctic continental (Ec) over northeast China. The changes are usually greater in the end compared with the middle of the 21st century.

关 键 词:climate  change  regional  climate  model  Kppen  climate  China

Projected Changes in Kppen Climate Types in the 21st Century over China
SHI Ying,GAO Xue-Jie,WU Jia.Projected Changes in Kppen Climate Types in the 21st Century over China[J].Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters,2012,5(6):495-498.
Authors:SHI Ying  GAO Xue-Jie and WU Jia
Institution:The Laboratory of Climate Study, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081;The Laboratory of Climate Study, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081;The Laboratory of Climate Study, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081
Abstract:Future changes in the climate regimes over China as measured by the K?ppen climate classification are reported in this paper. The analysis is based on a high-resolution climate change simulation conducted by a regional climate model (the Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) RegCM3) driven by the global model of Center for Climate System Research (CCSR)/National Institute for Environment Studies (NIES)/Frontier Research Center for Global Change (FRCGC) MIROC3.2_hires (the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate) under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario. Validation of the model performances is presented first. The results show that RegCM3 reproduces the present-day distribution of the K?ppen climate types well. Significant changes of the types are found in the future over China, following the simulated warming and precipitation changes. In southern China, the change is characterized by the replacement of subtropical humid (Cr) by subtropical winter-dry (Cw). A pronounced decrease of the cold climate types is found over China, e.g., tundra (Ft) over the Tibetan Plateau and sub-arctic continental (Ec) over northeast China. The changes are usually greater in the end compared with the middle of the 21st century.
Keywords:climate change  regional climate model  K?ppen climate  China
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