Solar activity variations and climatic changes |
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| Authors: | Vojtěch Leftus Reviewer J Tomlain Reviewer V Vítek |
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| Institution: | (1) Astronomical Institute, Czechoslovak Acad. Sci., Ond ejov |
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| Abstract: | Summary For the last two millenia it has been possible to determine the secular variation of solar activity from naked-eye sunspots, aurorae and radiocarbon variations. The results of the analysis of old East Asian observations of comets, which reflect the night cloudiness variation, do not agree with the former findings that the long-term climatic changes derived from comets depend on solar activity. The distinct anticorrelation between the Chinese records of comets and naked-eye sunspots is found only for the period from the 3rd to 6th century A.D., but in other centuries any correlation can hardly be seen. East Asian cometary observations give evidence of climatic changes in different parts of this large geographic region.Secular variations of the River Nile levels, regularly measured from the 7th to 15th century A.D., clearly correlate with the solar variations, which suggests evidence for solar influence on the climatic changes in the East African tropics. The decline of the Kingdoms in ancient Egypt and the occurrence of the Intermediate Periods are generally explained by very low Nile floods and prolonged droughts followed by severe famines and the destruction of the political structure. But the radiocarbon data show that at least the First and Second Intermediate Periods coincide with the secular maxima of solar activity and the Middle Kingdom with the minimum. This contradicts the positive correlation found from the eight centuries of measurements of River Nile levels made by Arabs. It seems that the influence of solar activity on the secular climatic changes has an episodic character.
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