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The tempo-spatial evolution characteristics of the load/unload response ratio before strong earthquakes in California of America and its predicting implications |
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| Authors: | Song Zhi-ping Yin Xiang-chu Wang Yu-cang Xu Ping Xu Yan |
| Institution: | 1. Beijing Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100080, China 2. Center for Analysis and Prediction,China Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100036,China 3. LNM,Institute of Mechanics.Chinese Academy of Science,Beijing 100080,China |
| Abstract: | In this paper, the tempo-spatial evolution characteristics of the load/unload response ratio (namely LURR or Y value) before strong earthquakes with magnitude over 6 during 1976~1994 in California of America are studied in detail. The results show that there appear some high-Y regions cohering with the regional tectonic trend in a great area 3~4 years before strong earthquakes and these high-Y regions migrate from the periphery to the epicenter region at a speed of tens of kilometers per year. The load/unload response ratio (LURR) anomalies near the epicenter region characterizes a type of (ascend ? descend( and appear and increase steeply until one year or less before most earthquakes. (Positive( earthquakes form usually a concentration area; in and near which the main shock occurs. We have analyzed the different and same characters of earthquakes between California of American and the Chinese mainland. Basing on these results, we discuss the approach and method how to predict and estimate the three parameters (place, time and magnitude) of a strong earthquake in California of American by applying the characteristics of the LURR. |
| Keywords: | California of American the load/unload response ratio prediction method |
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