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Mechanism and forecasting methods for severe droughts and floods in Songhua River Basin in China
Authors:Hongyan Li  Yuxin Wang  Xiubin Li
Institution:LI Hongyan 1,WANG Yuxin 1,LI Xiubin 2 (1. Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment,Ministry of Education,Jilin University,Changchun 130021,China,2. Baihan Power Plant of State Grid Xin Yuan Company Limited,Huadian 132400,China)
Abstract:The influence of various factors, mechanisms, and principles affecting runoff are summarized as periodic law, random law, and basin-wide law. Periodic law is restricted by astronomical factors, random law is restricted by atmospheric circulation, and basin-wide law is restricted by underlying surface. The commensurability method was used to identify the almost period law, the wave method was applied to deducing the random law, and the precursor method was applied in order to forecast runoff magnitude for th...
Keywords:Songhua River Basin  runoff  drought and flood  forecasting  
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