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Time series transfer model relating temperature to behavior of glacier termini |
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| Authors: | Henry W Posamentier and Mark J Nicolich |
| Institution: | (1) Rider College, 08648 Lawrenceville, N.J., USA;(2) Present address: Exxon Production Research Company, Post Office Box 2189, 77001 Houston, Texas, USA;(3) Present address: Cogimet, 26 Beardslee Rd., 08876 Millstone, N.J., USA |
| Abstract: | The Box-Jenkins transfer model technique is used to build a time series model relating mean June–July–August air temperature and behavior of glacier termini. Data are from the Austrian Alps. Glacier behavior is the fraction of observed glaciers in the region that recede each season. The model indicates a good fit (r=0.84), with temperature effects diminishing after the concurrent year but having appreciable impact for approximately 4 yr.First authorship was determined by a randomizing device. |
| Keywords: | Box-Jenkins model time series analysis glaciology |
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