A Warning System for Stromboli Volcano Based on Statistical Analysis |
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| Authors: | Giuseppe Nunnari Giuseppe Puglisi Alessandro Spata |
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| Institution: | (1) Dipartimento di Ingegneria Elettrica Elettronica e dei Sistemi, Università degli studi di Catania, Viale, A. Doria 6, 95123 Catania, Italy;(2) Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Catania, Piazza Roma, 2, 95123 Catania, Italy |
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| Abstract: | In this paper we describe a warning system based on statistical analysis for the purpose of monitoring ground deformation
at the Sciara del Fuoco (Stromboli Volcano, Sicily). After a statistical analysis of ground deformation time-series measured
at Stromboli by the monitoring system known as THEODOROS (THEOdolite and Distancemeter Robot Observatory of Stromboli), the
paper describes the solution adopted for implementing the warning system. A robust statistical index has been defined in order
to evaluate the movements of the area. A fuzzy approach has been proposed to evaluate an AI (Alarm Intensity) index which
indicates the level of hazard of the Sciara del Fuoco sliding. |
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| Keywords: | Stromboli volcano warning system fuzzy logic |
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