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Is Prediction of Future Landslides Possible with a GIS?
Authors:Fabbri  Andrea G  Chung  Chang-Jo F  Cendrero  Antonio  Remondo  Juan
Institution:(1) ITC, Hengelosestraat 99, 7500 AA Enschede, The Netherlands E-mail;(2) Geological Survey of Canada, 601 Booth Street, Ottawa, Canada, K1A 0E8 E-mail;(3) Universidad de Cantabria, Avd. de Los Castros s/n, 39005 Santander, Spain E-mail
Abstract:This contribution explores a strategy for landslide hazard zonation inwhich layers of spatial data are used to represent typical settings inwhich given dynamic types of landslides are likely to occur. Theconcepts of assessment and prediction are defined to focus on therepresentation of future hazardous events and in particular on themyths that often provide obstacles in the application of quantitativemethods. The prediction rate curves for different applications describethe support provided by the different data layers in experiments inwhich the typical setting of hazardous events is approximated bystatistically integrating the spatial information.
Keywords:Strategy  prediction  validation  future landslide  myth  requirement
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