Regression modeling method of space weather prediction |
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| Authors: | A S Parnowski |
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| Institution: | (1) Space Research Institute of NASU and NSAU, prosp. Akad. Glushkova, 40, korp. 4/1, 03680 MSP Kiev-187, Ukraine |
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| Abstract: | A regression modeling method of space weather prediction is proposed. It allows forecasting Dst index up to 6 hours ahead
with about 90% correlation. It can also be used for constructing phenomenological models of interaction between the solar
wind and the magnetosphere. With its help two new geoeffective parameters were found: latitudinal and longitudinal flow angles
of the solar wind. It was shown that Dst index remembers its previous values for 2000 hours. |
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| Keywords: | Space weather Prediction Forecasting Magnetic storms Statistics Regression |
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