| 黄河径流量的历史演变规律及成因 |
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| 引用本文： | 马柱国.黄河径流量的历史演变规律及成因[J].地球物理学报,2005,48(6):1270-1275. |
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| 作者姓名： | 马柱国 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院大气物理研究所东亚区域气候－环境重点实验室，中国科学院大气物理研究所东亚中心，北京100029 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KZCX3-SW-229)，国家重大基础研究规划项目(2006CB400504)，国家自然科学基金项目(40375028)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于黄河上、中和下游的径流及气候资料，对径流的年代际变化规律及与气候变化的关系进行了分析.结果表明：黄河流域的径流均存在显著的年代际变化趋势，径流的显著特征是从20世纪80年代开始的减少趋势，但并未达到历史的最低，径流减少的趋势在下游比上游更显著，而这种变化趋势与流域的气候变化趋势基本一致，说明在年代际尺度上，径流的变化主要受气候的控制；在不同季节，这种关系有明显差异，如在冬季两者的变化趋势有较大差异.分析还发现，近年来流域地表的干化是流域径流减少的原因，气温的升高更加剧了流域地表干化.
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| 关 键 词： | 黄河径流 变化趋势 湿润指数 增暖 |
| 文章编号： | 0001-5733（2005）06-1270-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-04-20 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-04-202005-08-18 |
Historical regular patterns of the discharge in the Yellow River and the cause of their formation |
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| MA Zhu-Guo.Historical regular patterns of the discharge in the Yellow River and the cause of their formation[J].Chinese Journal of Geophysics,2005,48(6):1270-1275. |
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| Authors: | MA Zhu-Guo |
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| Institution: | Key Laboratory of Regional Climate Environment Research for Temperate East Asia, Chinese Academy of Sciences, START Regional Center for Temperate East Asia, Beijing 100029, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the data of discharge and climate in the upper reaches,middle reaches and lower reaches of the Yellow River,the interdecade variations of discharge and its relationship with climatic change have been analyzed.The results indicate a notable interdecade trend of discharge,which is consistent with the interdecade variation of climate.It means that the variation of the discharge in Yellow River is basically controlled by climatic change,and the differences of the relationship vary with various seasons.For example,in winter there is a large difference between the discharge and surface water budget.It is noted that there is a notable decreasing trend of discharge since the 1980s,and the decreasing trend in the lower reaches is larger than that in the upper reaches.The results also indicate that the drought of the surface in the basin resulted in the decreasing trend of the discharge,and that the drought of the surface resulted from the increasing temperature and decreasing precipitation. |
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| Keywords: | Discharge of Yellow River Trend Surface humid index Warming |
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