The impact of water resources development projects on water vapor pressure trends in a semi-arid region, Turkey |
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| Authors: | Tahsin Tonkaz Mahmut Çetin Kâz?m Tülücü |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Agricultural Structures and Irrigation, Faculty of Agriculture, Harran University, 63040, ?anl?urfa, Turkey
2. Department of Agricultural Structures and Irrigation, Faculty of Agriculture, ?ukurova University, 01330, Balcal?, Adana, Turkey
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| Abstract: | The aim of this study was to investigate long-term seasonal trends and decadal change patterns of monthly mean water vapor
pressure (WVP) observation series at 16 meteorological stations scattered point-wisely over the Southeastern Anatolian Project (GAP) area in Turkey, where large-scale soil and water development projects have been put into practice since the 1970s. The record
length of WVP observation series of each station varied between 31- and 41-years between 1962 and 2002. The monthly mean WVP
observation series of each station was rearranged on seasonal basis. Sequential Mann–Kendall trend test, Sen’s slope estimator,
and Spearman’s rank–order correlation tests were employed for detection of likely trends, and Kruskall–Wallis test was used
to detect decadal variations in WVP series of each observation station. A possible area of representation for each meteorological
station was determined by using the Thiessen polygons technique in a geographical information systems media. It was found
that 15 seasonal WVP series have a positive trend covering 97% of the GAP area in the summer season; although one WVP series
has a negative trend direction. However, in the spring season, 33% of the area had a positive trend, and a negative trend
did not appear in any stations. WVP records in the winter season showed an increasing trend over 19% of the GAP area, whereas
a decreasing trend prevailed in 9% of the area. The study results led us to conclude that the substantial increase of WVP
observations in summer season could be attributed to both the shift from rain-fed agriculture to irrigated agriculture being
made increasingly spacious year by year and building large water reservoirs in the GAP located in a semi-arid region. The
results also indirectly suggested that the historical trends in the WVP parameters might be related to global climate change
phenomenon. |
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