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1961—2005年江苏省降水变化趋势
引用本文:邱新法,张喜亮,曾燕,武金岗.1961—2005年江苏省降水变化趋势[J].气象,2008,34(5):82-88.
作者姓名:邱新法  张喜亮  曾燕  武金岗
作者单位:1. 南京信息工程大学遥感学院,南京,210044
2. 中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所;江苏省气象科学研究所
3. 江苏省气象科学研究所
基金项目:中国气象局气候变化专项基金 , 江苏省南京市科技局科研项目
摘    要:以江苏省62个气象站1961-2005年降水资料为基础,系统分析了近45年来江苏省降水变化趋势.结果表明:1961-2005年江苏省年降水量无显著变化趋势,秋季降水量呈显著下降趋势,冬季降水量呈显著上升趋势.全省年降水日数呈略有下降趋势,以小于10mm的降水日数下降尤为明显.夏季极端强降水总量、极端强降水事件频率为增加趋势,秋季极端强降水事件强度为下降趋势.

关 键 词:降水  气候变化  趋势
收稿时间:2007/8/31 0:00:00
修稿时间:2007年8月31日

Precipitation Variation Trend in Jiangsu Province From 1961 to 2005
Qiu Xinf,Zhang Xiliang,Zeng Yan and Wu Jingang.Precipitation Variation Trend in Jiangsu Province From 1961 to 2005[J].Meteorological Monthly,2008,34(5):82-88.
Authors:Qiu Xinf  Zhang Xiliang  Zeng Yan and Wu Jingang
Institution:School of Remote Sensing, Nanjing University of Information Science and Tech nology, Nanjing 210044;School of Remote Sensing, Nanjing University of Information Science and Tech nology, Nanjing 210044;Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, CAS; Jiangsu Institute of Meteorlogical Sciences;Jiangsu Institute of Meteorlogical Sciences
Abstract:Based on the observational data of 62 meteorological stations from 1961 to 2005, the spatial and temporal distributions and their trends for precipitation in Jiangs u Province are investigated. The conclusion can be drawn as follows: Although th e annual precipitation in Jiangsu has no significant change trend, the autumn pr ecipitation has an obvious decrease trend, but winter precipitation has a signif icant increase t rend. The annual precipitation days in Jiangsu have slightly decreased, which ar e mainly caused by the decrease of the annual days of the light rain, i.e. the d aily rainfall is less than 10.0mm. The extreme total rainfall and its frequency in summer appear a significant increase trend and the extreme precipitation inte nsity in autumn takes on a decrease trend.
Keywords:precipitation  climate change  trend
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