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Rainfall and Obtaining Information Regarding Earthquake Development Processes from Groundwater Level
Authors:Li Yong  Fang Wei and Ma Li
Institution:[1]School of Mathematical Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Key Laboratory of Mathematics and Complex Systems, Ministry of Education, Beijing 100875, China [2]Institute of Earthquake Science, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100036, China
Abstract:Many factors can cause changes of groundwater level, such as the development process of an earthquake, rainfall, solid earth tides etc. Among these we are interested in information regarding earthquake development processes. Eliminating the influence of various disturbance factors is an effective way to obtain seismic development process information contained in the groundwater level. This paper provides two different ways to remove the rainfall effect, and compares the two methods by means of correlation analysis. Furthermore, based on these a logistic regression model is established to describe the seismicity level.
Keywords:Seismicity  Groundwater level  Time series  Logistic regression models
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