| 城市供水管网震害概率预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 马尔曼.城市供水管网震害概率预测[J].内陆地震,1992,6(1):63-70. |
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| 作者姓名： | 马尔曼 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家地震局兰州地震研究所 兰州 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据概率可靠性理论,计算了地震作用下地下直埋管道的各个震害等级的概率值。假定在一段管子中,其破坏为泊松公布,求得这段管道供水的可靠性,最后用并联和串联分析法,得出整个供水管网的供水可靠性。通过实际计算,结果较理想。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市 供水管道 震害 概率预测 |
ANTICIPATION FOR PROBABILITY OF HAZARD OF WATER-SUPPLING PIPE NETWORK IN EITY |
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| Ma Erman.ANTICIPATION FOR PROBABILITY OF HAZARD OF WATER-SUPPLING PIPE NETWORK IN EITY[J].Inland Earthquake,1992,6(1):63-70. |
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| Authors: | Ma Erman |
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| Abstract: | According to reliability theory of probability ,the probability value of different grade of seismic hazard of water pipe buried underground under earthquake action was calculated. Suppose the damage of a section of pipe is in poisson distribution,the reliability of the pipe for water supply can be obtained . Finally, the reliability of the whole pipe network for water supply can be obtained through parallal and series connection analysis method ,and the result is ideal. |
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| Keywords: | Water-suppling pipe network in city Probability of seismic hazard poisson distribution |
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