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基于综合城镇化视角的省际人口迁移格局空间分析
引用本文:刘颖,邓伟,宋雪茜,张少尧.基于综合城镇化视角的省际人口迁移格局空间分析[J].地理科学,2017,37(8):1151-1158.
作者姓名:刘颖  邓伟  宋雪茜  张少尧
作者单位:1. 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所山区发展研究中心, 四川 成都 610041
2.中国科学院大学, 北京 100049
3.成都信息工程大学管理学院, 四川 成都 610225
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41471469)、中国科学院成都山地灾害与环境研究所青年百人项目(SDSQB-2015-01)资助
摘    要:采用第五、第六次全国人口普查数据,基于流出、流入“双向”视角解析人口迁移格局及演变过程;采用空间计量模型,阐释综合城镇化及各城镇化分量值对省际人口迁移影响的空间效应。研究结果表明: 2000~2010年省际人口迁移量成倍增长,人口迁出区域空间不断扩散,迁入区域空间虽无明显变化,但内部差异性变化明显; 省际人口迁移存在明显的空间依赖性特征,省际人口净迁入率变化明显受周边地区的正向影响; 综合城镇化率变化对省际人口迁入有着重要作用。 人口、经济和土地城镇化率变化对人口净迁入率变化具有显著影响,且经济城镇化仍为影响省际人口迁移变化的主导因素;社会城镇化率的影响并不明显。

关 键 词:城镇化  劳动力转移  人口迁移  格局变化  空间效应  
收稿时间:2016-11-01
修稿时间:2017-02-11

Spatial Pattern of Interprovincial Population Migration from the Comprehensive Urbanization Perspective
Ying Liu,Wei Deng,Xueqian Song,Shaoyao Zhang.Spatial Pattern of Interprovincial Population Migration from the Comprehensive Urbanization Perspective[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2017,37(8):1151-1158.
Authors:Ying Liu  Wei Deng  Xueqian Song  Shaoyao Zhang
Institution:1. Research Center for Mountain development, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China
2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
3. School of Management, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, Sichuan, China
Abstract:The migration will bring a major change in population spatial distribution in the process of rapid urbanization. Based on the fifth and sixth national population census data, it analyzes flow direction and quantity of provincial population migration from “two-way” aspects in order to explain the spatial pattern and evolution of interprovincial population migration; Furthermore, on the basis of spatial autocorrelation analysis, it build spatial econometric model to analyze the effect of comprehensive urbanization and population urbanization, economic urbanization, land urbanization and social urbanization on interprovincial population migration. The results show that: 1) In the process of rapid development of urbanization in China,the quantity of interprovincial population migration visibly increase from 2000 to 2010; Emigration region tend to be scattered, while there is no significant change of ingoing region; 2) Interprovincial population migration has obvious characteristics of spatial dependence, and net immigration rate change is under the positive influence of surrounding areas; 3) Through the analysis of the spatial association between urbanization changes and interprovincial population migration changes, it verified comprehensive urbanization included the factors of population, economy, land and social play an important role on interprovincial population immigration; 4) The changes of population, economy and land urbanization has significant effects on population immigration, however social urbanization is not obvious. In the multi-dimensional component of urbanization, economy urbanization is still dominant factors that affect the change of interprovincial population migration.
Keywords:urbanization  labor transfer  migration  pattern evolution  spatial effect  
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