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The greenhouse of Titan
Authors:Carl Sagan
Institution:Laboratory for Planetary Studies, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14850 USA
Abstract:Both non-gray radiative equilibrium and gray convective equilibrium calculations for Titan indicate that the discrepancy between the equilibrium temperature of an atmosphereless Titan and the observed infrared temperatures can be explained by a massive molecular hydrogen greenhouse effect. The convective calculations indicate a probable minimum optical depth of 14, corresponding to many tens of km-atm of H2, and total pressures of ~0.1 bar. The tropopause is several hundred km above the Titanian surface and at a temperature of about 90°K. Methane condensation is likely at this level. Such an atmosphere is unstable against atmospheric blow-off unless typical mesosphere scale heights are < 25km, an unlikely situation. Blow-off can also be circumvented by exospheric temperatures near the freezing point of hydrogen. It is considered more plausible that the present atmosphere is in equilibrium between outgassing and blow-off of the one hand and accretion from protons trapped in a hypothetical Saturnian magnetic field on the other; or exhibits uncompensated blow-off of outgassing products. To maintain the present blow-off rate without compensation for all of geological time requires an outgassing equivalent to the volatilization of a few km of subsurface ices. Photo-dissociation of these volatilized ices produces the observed high abundance of H2 as well as large quantities of complex organic chromophores which may explain the reddish coloration of the Titanian cloud deck. An extensive circum-Titanian hydrogen corona is postulated. Surface temperatures as high as 200°K are not excluded. Because of its high temperatures and pressures and the probable large abundance of organic compounds, Titan is a prime target for spacecraft exploration in the outer solar system.
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