Exposure of developing countries to sea-level rise and storm surges |
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Authors: | Susmita Dasgupta Benoit Laplante Siobhan Murray David Wheeler |
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Institution: | (1) Marine and Coastal Ecosystems Branch, United Nations Environment Programme, UN Gigiri Complex, 30552–00100, Nairobi, Kenya |
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Abstract: | An increase in sea surface temperature is strongly evident at all latitudes and in all oceans. The scientific evidence to
date suggests that increased sea surface temperature will intensify cyclone activity and heighten storm surges. The paper
assesses the exposure of (coastal) developing countries to sea-level rise and the intensification of storm surges. Geographic
Information System (GIS) software is used to overlay the best available, spatially-disaggregated global data on critical exposed
elements (land, population, GDP, agricultural extent and wetlands) with the inundation zones projected with heightened storm
surges and a 1 m sea-level rise. Country-level results indicate a significant increase in exposure of developing countries
to these climate-induced changes. |
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Keywords: | |
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