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降水与提取地下水位中的地震孕育信息
引用本文:李勇,方维,马丽.降水与提取地下水位中的地震孕育信息[J].中国地震,2007,23(2):195-203.
作者姓名:李勇  方维  马丽
作者单位:1. 北京师范大学数学科学学院,北京市新街口外大街19号,100875
2. 中国地震局地震预测研究所,北京,100036
摘    要:有许多因素会引起地下水位变化,如地震的孕育过程、降水、固体潮等。其中我们感兴趣的是地震孕育信息。消除各干扰因素的影响是挖掘隐藏在地下水位中地震孕育信息的一种有效途径。本文提供了两种不同的消除降水因素影响的方法,通过相关分析来比较两种方法的效果,并在此基础上建立了描述地震活动水平的Logistic回归模型。

关 键 词:地震活动性  地下水位  时间序列  逻辑回归模型
文章编号:1001-4683(2007)02-0195-09
修稿时间:2006年7月26日

Rainfall and Drawing the Information of Earthquake Development Process in Underground Water Level
Li Yong,Fang Wei,Ma Li.Rainfall and Drawing the Information of Earthquake Development Process in Underground Water Level[J].Earthquake Research in China,2007,23(2):195-203.
Authors:Li Yong  Fang Wei  Ma Li
Abstract:There are many factors can cause changes of underground water level, such as the earthquake development process, the rainfall, the solid earth tide and so on. One of the factors is interested from the information of earthquake development process. It is one of the effective approaches to analyze and remove the in fluences of the disturbance factors keeping in the underground water level for mining the information of the earthquake process. The two different methods have provided to eliminate the rainfall factor influence, and compared the effects by means of the correlation analysis. Furthermore, a logistic regression model has established to describe the seismicity level.
Keywords:Seismicity Underground water level Times series Logistic regression models
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