| 江西省地质灾害-气象预警预报系统研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 周玉才,雷万荣,余广文,唐春梅,程志华.江西省地质灾害-气象预警预报系统研究[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2008,19(2):67-71. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周玉才 雷万荣 余广文 唐春梅 程志华 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西省地质环境监测总站,江西,南昌,330012 |
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| 基金项目： | 国土资源部国土资源大调查项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 论文采用了降雨特征（用降雨诱发指数表征）与地质环境条件（以地质灾害敏感性指数表征）进行叠加、分析，确定预警预报等级，建立地质灾害-预警预报模型的方法；提出了预警产品制作与发布、多普勒雷达跟踪、应急指导、反馈信息收集、灾情调查的地质灾害气象预警预报工作程序。对近几年江西省地质灾害-预警预报效果分析，总结了地质灾害-预警预报成功与失败的经验教训，提出今后的工作设想与建议。应用基于GIS的地质灾害预警预报系统已在近几年的地质灾害-气象预警预报中不断完善，预警预报精度得到提高，防灾减灾效果明显，对保护人民生命财产安全发挥了重要作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 地质灾害 预警预报系统 工作程序 防灾减灾 江西省 |
Early-warning system of geo-hazard in Jiangxi Province based on weather forecast |
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| ZHOU Yu-cai,LEI Wang-rong,YU Guang-wen,TANG Chun-mei,CHENG Zhi-hua.Early-warning system of geo-hazard in Jiangxi Province based on weather forecast[J].The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2008,19(2):67-71. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Yu-cai LEI Wang-rong YU Guang-wen TANG Chun-mei CHENG Zhi-hua |
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| Institution: | ZHOU Yu-cai,LEI Wang-rong, YU Guang-wen,TANG Chun-mei, CHENG Zhi-hua (Jiangxi Station of Geo-environment Monitoring, Nanchang 330012,China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper adopts overlay analysis between rainfall features（ characterized by induced index of rainfall） and the geological environment （characterized by geo-hazard sensitivity index） to determine early-warning and forecast levels, establishes the method of weather warning and predicting model of geo-hazard, brings up the production and publicating of the geo-hazard early-warning products, dopple radar tracking, emergency guidance, feedback information collection and disater investigation. Through the effectiveness analysis of weather warning and predicting of geo-hazard in Jiangxi Province in recent years, the paper sums up the lessons of success and failure in weather warning and predicting of geo-hazard and proposes the thoughts and suggestions for future work. Basing on GIS （Geological Information System）, the warning and predicting system of geo-hazard has became more perfect in recent application. It＇ s precision has been improved yet and gets an obvious effect in disaster prevention and reduction. The system has been playing a considerable important action to protect life and property of human. |
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| Keywords: | geo-hazard early-warning and forecast system work procedures control and reduction of disaster JiangxiProvince |
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