Econometric analysis on the effect of port state control inspections on the probability of casualty: Can targeting of substandard ships for inspections be improved? |
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| Authors: | Sabine Knapp Philip Hans Franses |
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| Institution: | Econometric Institute, Erasmus University, P.O. Box 1738, NL 3000 DR Rotterdam, The Netherlands |
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| Abstract: | This article is based on 183,819 port state control inspections from various port state control regimes and casualties from three different data sources for a time period of 6 years. It is the first time an analysis on a combined dataset of this magnitude has been performed. Binary logistic regression is used to measure the effect of inspections on the probability of casualty, which can be measured for very serious casualties but not for serious or less serious casualties. In addition, the magnitude of improvement areas for targeting substandard vessels is determined and the models further show how targeting of substandard ships on a combined dataset can be improved. In addition, the analysis also compares the fishing fleet with the commercial fleet. |
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| Keywords: | Port state control Probability of casualty Effectiveness of inspections Vetting inspections Port state control target factor Global view on port state control Ship risk profiles Binary logistic regression |
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