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Preliminary prediction of solar cycles 24 and 25 based on the correlation between cycle parameters
Authors:M I Pishkalo
Institution:(1) Astronomical Observatory, Taras Shevchenko Kiev National University, ul. Observatornaya 3, Kiev, 04053, Ukraine
Abstract:The correlation between various parameters of solar cycles 1–23 is investigated. The derived regressions are used to make predictions of solar cycles 24 and 25. It is expected that solar cycle 24 will reach its maximum amplitude of 110.2 ± 33.4 in April–June 2012 and the next minimum will occur in December 2018–January 2019. The duration of solar cycle 24 will be about 11.1 years. Solar cycle 25 will reach its maximum amplitude of 112.3 ± 33.4 approximately in April–June 2023.
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