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地下水位地震短临预报前兆标志体系研究
引用本文:董守玉,蓝秀英.地下水位地震短临预报前兆标志体系研究[J].华北地震科学,1996,14(1):1-10.
作者姓名:董守玉  蓝秀英
作者单位:河北省地震局 石家庄050021 (万迪堃,董守玉,蓝秀英,秦清娟),河北省地震局 石家庄050021(刘允清)
基金项目:八五攻关85—04—02—03—03课题
摘    要:建立地下水位地震短临预报前兆标志体系的主要依据是:从以往的震例中总结、统计出的多种异常特征参量与地震三要素之间的定量关系。判定震级的异常标志有:异常分布范围、异常时空转换、异常数量、异常形态异常时间和异常幅度;判定发震时间的异常标志有:异常开始和转折时间、异常数量、异常形态异常时空转换和异常速率;判定发震地点的异常标志有:异常空间分布图象、异常数量

关 键 词:地下水位异常  地震前兆  地震预报  标志体系

RESEARCH ON PRECURSORY INDEX SYSTEM OF GROUND WARTER LEVEL FOR SHORT-IMMINENT TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
Wan Dikun Dong Shouyu Lan Xiuying Qin Qingjuan Liu Yunqing.RESEARCH ON PRECURSORY INDEX SYSTEM OF GROUND WARTER LEVEL FOR SHORT-IMMINENT TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J].North China Earthquake Sciences,1996,14(1):1-10.
Authors:Wan Dikun Dong Shouyu Lan Xiuying Qin Qingjuan Liu Yunqing
Abstract:The precursory index system of groundwater level for short imminent earthquake prediction has been set up haesd mainly on the quantitative (or semi-quantitative or qualitative) relation between several premonitory phenomena parameters (that is precursory index) and three earthquake parameters that have been obtained by the summary of historical event examples. The precursory indexes for the judgment of earthquake magnitudes are as follows the spatial distribution, the spatial and temporal migration , the quantity ,the shape ,the duration and the amplitude of the precursors. The precursory indexes for the determination of earthquake occurrence time are as the beginning and turning (ending) time, the quantity, the shape, the spatial and temporal migration and the rate (or amplitude) of the precursors. The precursory indexes for determination of seismic epcenters are as the spatial distribution pattern, the quantity and the density, the pattern, the spatial and the temporal migration, the related region with earthquake and the control area by the wells, the rate (or amplitude) and the spatial distribu tion of the precursors after last strong event.
Keywords:anomaly of groundwater  seismic precursory  earthquake prediction  prediction criterion
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