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Seismotectonic models and CN algorithm: The case of Italy
Authors:Giovanni Costa  Ivanka Orozova-Stanishkova  Giuliano Francesco Panza  Irina M Rotwain
Institution:(1) Dipartimento Scienze della Terra, Università degli Studi di Trieste, via E. Weiss 4, 34127 Trieste, Italy;(2) International Center for Theoretical Physics-ICTP, Miramar, 34100 Trieste, Italy;(3) International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Academy of Sciences of the U.S.S.R., Warshavskoye, 79, K.2, 113556 Moscow, USSR
Abstract:The CN algorithm is utilized here both for the intermediate term earthquake prediction and to validate the seismotectonic model of the Italian territory. Using the results of the analysis, made through the CN algorithm and taking into account the seismotectonic model, three main areas, one for Northern Italy, one for Central Italy and one for Southern Italy, are defined. Two transition areas between the three main areas are delineated. The earthquakes which occurred in these two areas contribute to the precursor phenomena identified by the CN algorithm in each main area.
Keywords:Earthquakes prediction  seismotectonics  seismicity
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