| 灰色马尔柯夫预测模型及其在渔获量预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 莫非.灰色马尔柯夫预测模型及其在渔获量预测中的应用[J].广东海洋大学学报,1995(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 莫非 |
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| 作者单位： | 湛江水产学院基础部 |
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| 摘 要： | 为海洋、江河渔获量的短期和长期预测提供一种预测精度较好的预测方法，将灰色ＧＭ（１，１）预测和马尔柯夫概率矩阵预测两者结合起来，通过它们的优点互补，使灰色马尔柯夫预测模型对渔获量的预测结果更科学、更精确。并用灰色马尔柯夫预测模型，预测山东省黄姑鱼的年渔获量。结果是令人满意的。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色模型，马尔柯夫转移概率矩阵，预测，渔获量 |
GREY-MARKOV FORECASTING MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN PREDICTING FISHERY OUTPUT |
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| Mo Fei.GREY-MARKOV FORECASTING MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN PREDICTING FISHERY OUTPUT[J].Journal of Zhanjiang Ocean University,1995(1). |
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| Authors: | Mo Fei |
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| Abstract: | This paper introduces a grey-markov forecasting model which has the merits of both grey GM(1,1) forecast and markov transition Probabitity matrix forecat.The forecasted results of the model are more arecise than those of other models in predicting fishery output. The predictiun of annual catch of spotted maidal in Shandong Provioce shows that the use of this model is satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | Grey model Markov transtion Probability matrix Fishery Output Prediction |
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