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Multi-level temporal autoregressive modelling of daily activity satisfaction using GPS-integrated activity diary data
Authors:Guanpeng Dong  Mei-Po Kwan  Yiming Wang  Yanwei Chai
Institution:1. Department of Geography and Planning, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK;2. Department of Geography &3. Geographic Information Science, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, USA;4. School of Policy Studies, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK;5. College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China
Abstract:In this research, we match web-based activity diary data with daily mobility information recorded by GPS trackers for a sample of 709 residents in a 7-day survey in Beijing in 2012 to investigate activity satisfaction. Given the complications arising from the irregular time intervals of GPS-integrated diary data and the associated complex dependency structure, a direct application of standard (spatial) panel data econometric approaches is inappropriate. This study develops a multi-level temporal autoregressive modelling approach to analyse such data, which conceptualises time as continuous and examines sequential correlations via a time or space-time weights matrix. Moreover, we manage to simultaneously model individual heterogeneity through the inclusion of individual random effects, which can be treated flexibly either as independent or dependent. Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are developed for model implementation. Positive sequential correlations and individual heterogeneity effects are both found to be statistically significant. Geographical contextual characteristics of sites where activities take place are significantly associated with daily activity satisfaction, controlling for a range of situational characteristics and individual socio-demographic attributes. Apart from the conceivable urban planning and development implications of our study, we demonstrate a novel statistical methodology for analysing semantic GPS trajectory data in general.
Keywords:Multi-level modelling  spatial econometrics  GPS data  subjective well-being  semantic trajectories
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