| 河南豫北地区跨断层形变预报方法检验及效能评估 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 陈梦,杨龙翔.河南豫北地区跨断层形变预报方法检验及效能评估[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2020,41(4):121-128. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 陈梦 杨龙翔 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 中国郑州 450016 河南省地震局 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 基于河南省豫北地区跨断层形变观测资料，在排除观测时段相关干扰的基础上，选取2002—2019年观测场地周边200 km范围内中等强度地震，依据震例对应规则，使用不同类别异常提取方法进行预报方法的检验和效能评估，并通过对比分析R值检验结果，总结适用于该地区跨断层形变观测的最佳预报方法。
|
| 关 键 词： | 跨断层形变 R值 地震预测 预报效能评估 |
Method validation and effectiveness evaluation for earthquake forecast based on cross-fault observation of mobile crustal deformation in the northern Henan area |
| |
| CHEN Meng,YANG Longxiang.Method validation and effectiveness evaluation for earthquake forecast based on cross-fault observation of mobile crustal deformation in the northern Henan area[J].Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research,2020,41(4):121-128. |
| |
| Authors: | CHEN Meng YANG Longxiang |
| |
| Institution: | Henan Earthquake Agency, Zhengzhou 450016, China |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on cross-fault observation of mobile crustal deformation in the Northern Henan area, after eliminating related interference in the observation period, we selected moderate strong earthquakes 200 km within the observation site- and used different kinds of anomaly extraction methods to conduct forecast method effectiveness evaluation according to earthquake case correspondence rules. And then, we summed up the best forecast methods suitable for this cross-fault area through a comparative analysis of R-value test results. |
| |
| Keywords: | cross-fault deformation observation R-value earthquake forecast forecast effectiveness evaluation |
|
| 点击此处可从《地震地磁观测与研究》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《地震地磁观测与研究》下载免费的PDF全文 |
