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出口对中国区域经济增长和产业结构转型的影响分析
引用本文:刘卫东,刘红光,唐志鹏,王亮.出口对中国区域经济增长和产业结构转型的影响分析[J].地理学报,2010,65(4).
作者姓名:刘卫东  刘红光  唐志鹏  王亮
作者单位:1. 中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京,100101;中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101
2. 中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京,100101;中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101;中国科学院研究生院,北京,100049
摘    要:1978年改革开放以来,特别是加入WTO以后,中国对外贸易迅速增加,成为经济增长的主要动力之一。这不仅改变了中国在世界经济中的地位,也导致了中国区域经济格局的变化。在当前全球金融危机下,中国对外出口大幅度下降。因而,定量研究出口对中国区域经济增长和产业结构转变的作用,对理解金融危机的影响具有重要意义。本文运用投入产出表方法,计算了中国各省市区对欧、美、日的商品出口对各自产业增加值和产业结构升级的贡献程度。研究发现,对欧、美、日出口在中国区域经济增长和产业结构转型中起着越来越重要的角色,特别是沿海地区。

关 键 词:出口  金融危机  区域经济增长  产业结构  中国

The Impacts of Exports on Regional Economic Development and Industrial Restructuring in China
Abstract:In the last two decades, especially since joining the World Trade Organization in 2002, China has witnessed a rapid growth in international trade of commodities, which is seen as a major driver to its economic growth. The rise of China as a major import & export country, not only changes the world's economic geography, but also has significant impacts on its domestic economic geography. The European Union (EU), USA and Japan are the largest trade partners of China, accounting for about half of China's import & export in 2008. Given the economic difficulties faced by both China and others as a result of the current world-wide financial crisis, it is meaningful to examine the impacts of Chinese exports to the EU, USA and Japan on the development of both sides. In this paper, we will focus on such impacts on regional development in China. We try to compute the contribution of Sino-EU, Sino-USA and Sino-Japan exports to provincial GDP growth and industrial restructuring in China in terms of value-added. We find the exports to the EU, USA and Japan have major contributions to economic growth and industrial upgrading in some coastal provinces, e.g. Shanghai, Jiangsu and Guangdong.
Keywords:export  financial crisis  regional development  industrial restructuring  China
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