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地震动力过程与地震预测模型研究
引用本文:武孔春,樊耀新,温一波.地震动力过程与地震预测模型研究[J].地震研究,2002,25(4):341-345.
作者姓名:武孔春  樊耀新  温一波
作者单位:1. 云南省地震局,昆明,650041
2. 云南大学地球科学系,昆明,650091
摘    要:地震的孕育、发生和发展是地球介质内微裂纹系演化的动力过程,包括线性成扩展阶段和临界增长阶段,后一阶段涉及到裂纹系的非线性增长与涨落耗散,并当达到某个临界点时,即开始单一裂纹的支配过程而发生地震。

关 键 词:地震预测模型  地震动力过程  微裂纹  涨落耗散  发震断裂

The Study of the Dynamical Process and the Model of Earthquake Prediction
Wu Kongchun,Fan Yuexing,Wen Yibo.The Study of the Dynamical Process and the Model of Earthquake Prediction[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2002,25(4):341-345.
Authors:Wu Kongchun  Fan Yuexing  Wen Yibo
Institution:Wu Kongchun 1 Fan Yuexing 1 Wen Yibo 2
Abstract:The genesis,the development and the occurrence of the earthquake indicate a dynamical process of the micro-crack clusters' evolution in the medium of the Earth.This dynamic process includes the stage of linear-nucleation expansion and the stage of critical development.The latter is concerned with the non-linear development and rising-dropping dissipation of the micro-crack clusters.When critical development reaches a certain critical point,a single crack will dominates the evolution process.Then,the earthquake happens.
Keywords:Seismic dynamical process  Micro-crack  Rising-dropping dissipation  Seismogenic faults
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