| 震后趋势早期判断的初步研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈立德,蔡静观.震后趋势早期判断的初步研究[J].地震研究,1992,15(4):355-365. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈立德 蔡静观 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南省地震局，云南省地震局，云南省地震局，云南省地震局，云南省地震局，云南省地震局 昆明 650041，昆明 650041，昆明 650041，昆明 650041，昆明 650041，昆明 650041 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文系统清理了云南及邻近地区1965年以来106个地震序列,对h、b、K、U、等值的震后趋势早期(7天以内)判断指标和预报能力;双震型序列中h、b值的联合早期判断;前震、多震型序列的地震波特征等方面进行了初步研究,并将权重集成法应用于地震序列的早期综合判断中,提取了各单项方法的权重系数和权重集成值的临界阈值。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震序列 判断 震后 地震 |
A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE EARLY-STAGE JUDGMENT OF POST-EVENT TENDENCY |
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| Chen Lide Cai Jingguan Sun ZhikunHong Shaofeng Wang Xinghui Lei Suhua.A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE EARLY-STAGE JUDGMENT OF POST-EVENT TENDENCY[J].Journal of Seismological Research,1992,15(4):355-365. |
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| Authors: | Chen Lide Cai Jingguan Sun ZhikunHong Shaofeng Wang Xinghui Lei Suhua |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, 106 earthquakes in Yunnan and its vicinities since 1965 have been reviewed, and a preliminary study has been made on the early-stage judgemnt indicators and their predictive capabilities for the post-event tendency (within 7 days) of h, b, K and U values, on the combined early-stage judgment of h and b values of double events, and on the seismic wave characteristics of foreshock and multishock sequences. At the same time, the weighted integrate method has been used in the early-stage synthetic judgment of the sequences, so as to get the critical threshold of the weighted coefficient of each single term and weighted integrate value. |
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| Keywords: | Earthquake sequence Early-stage judgment Weighted integrate method Post-event tendency judgment |
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