| 1952-2008年新疆产业结构演进特征分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 潘伟,杨德刚,杨莉,肖艳秋,王国刚,唐宏.1952-2008年新疆产业结构演进特征分析[J].干旱区地理,2012,35(1):177-185. |
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| 作者姓名： | 潘伟 杨德刚 杨莉 肖艳秋 王国刚 唐宏 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐830011／中国科学院研究生院,北京100049
2. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐,830011 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院西部计划，中国科学院西部博士资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 以1952-2008年统计数据为基础，采用产业经济学、计量经济学和统计学的相关方法，对新疆解放以来的产业结构演进进行了定量分析，并对其与同期全国产业结构演进进行了比较。研究结果表明：1952年以来，新疆与全国产业结构演进存在差异，主要表现在：新疆第一产业比重不断下降，第二、三产业比重不断上升，二产居于主导地位；新疆产业...
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| 关 键 词： | 新疆 产业结构演进 偏离-份额分析法 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011-06-18; |
Characteristics of industrial structure evolution of Xinjiang from 1952 to 2008 |
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| PAN Wei
,
YANG De-gang
,
YANG Li
,
XIAO Yan-qiu
,
WANG Guo-gang
,
TANG Hong.Characteristics of industrial structure evolution of Xinjiang from 1952 to 2008[J].Arid Land Geography,2012,35(1):177-185. |
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| Authors: | PAN Wei YANG De-gang YANG Li XIAO Yan-qiu WANG Guo-gang TANG Hong |
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| Institution: | 1,2(1 Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,CAS,Urumqi 830011,Xinjiang,China; 2 Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the statistical data from 1952 to 2008 and by using such indices as the entropy status of the regional industrial structure,similarity index in industrial structure,deviation degree and deviation factor of industrial structure of employment,conversion speed coefficient of the industrial structure and directional coefficient,coefficient of the comparative labor productivity and the different index,this paper makes a quantitative analysis on dynamic evolution characteristics,such as the overall features of Xinjiang Province’s industrial structure evolution,evolution stages industrial structure of employment,conversion speed of the industrial structure and its shift-share since 1952,with the method of shift-share analysis.The results are as follows:Xinjiang’s industrial structure evolution can generally be divided into four phases(1952-1957,1958-1977,1978-1991,1992-2008).Xinjiang’s industrial structure has entered a low-level and orderly state after three times industrial structure evolution.Compared with national industrial structure,there are a lot of similarities in Xinjiang’s industrial structure,but similarities were increased(from 0.94 in 1953 to 0.99 in 2004-2008).In addition,it finds that there have been some difierences in evolution of industrial structure between Xinjiang and the whole nation since 1952.The main features are as follows:Firstly,the primary industry proportion of Xinjiang was declining,,the secondary industry proportion and the tertiary industry proportion of Xinjiang was obviously increasing,the secondary industry is the leading industry.Secondly,imbalance between the proportions of output value and employment in Xinjiang was evidently high,which has enlarged in the recent years.And there is a striking dual structure between towns and countries in Xinjiang,and the industrial structure and employment structure is characterized by "two,three,one"and"one,three,two"features.Thirdly,its conversion speed of the industrial structure was fast and then slow,such changes were mainly dependent on the promotion of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry,which was reasonable.Fourthly,the labor productivity and economic efficiency of the primary industry is very low,the secondary industry have some advantages,the tertiary industry can not improve employment,the industrial development was unbalanced and the efficiency of the industrial structure was declining.Lastly,the effects of its economic growth structure have been increasing,but sunset industry took a high proportion in economic growth.Fortunately,its competitiveness of comparative advantage industry has been enhanced a lot.Great efforts should be made to improve the optimization and fully develop the secondary industry,So that it can promote the development of the primary industry and tertiary industry,which should be the future direction of industrial restructure of Xinjiang Province. |
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| Keywords: | Xinjiang industrial structure evolution shift-share method |
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