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Trends in rainfall and temperature in the Peruvian Amazon–Andes basin over the last 40 years (1965–2007)
Authors:Waldo Sven Lavado Casimiro  David Labat  Josyane Ronchail  Jhan Carlo Espinoza  Jean Loup Guyot
Institution:1. Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología, SENAMHI, , 11 1308 Lima 11, Peru;2. UNALM, PhD Programme in Water Resources, Water resources Engineering & Management, , Lima 12, Peru;3. Geosciences Environnement Toulouse (CNRS, IRD, Université de Toulouse, OMP), , F‐31400 Toulouse, France;4. Université Paris 7 et LOCEAN (UP6‐CNRS‐IRD‐MNHN), , 75252 Paris Cedex 05, France;5. Instituto Geofísico del Perú (IGP), , Ate Vitarte, Lima, Peru;6. Geosciences Environnement Toulouse (CNRS, IRD, Université de Toulouse, OMP), , 71635‐971 Brasilia, DF, Brazil
Abstract:The hydroclimatology of the Peruvian Amazon–Andes basin (PAB) which surface corresponding to 7% of the Amazon basin is still poorly documented. We propose here an extended and original analysis of the temporal evolution of monthly rainfall, mean temperature (Tmean), maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) time series over two PABs (Huallaga and Ucayali) over the last 40 years. This analysis is based on a new and more complete database that includes 77 weather stations over the 1965–2007 period, and we focus our attention on both annual and seasonal meteorological time series. A positive significant trend in mean temperature of 0.09 °C per decade is detected over the region with similar values in the Andes and rainforest when considering average data. However, a high percentage of stations with significant Tmean positive trends are located over the Andes region. Finally, changes in the mean values occurred earlier in Tmax (during the 1970s) than in Tmin (during the 1980s). In the PAB, there is neither trend nor mean change in rainfall during the 1965–2007 period. However, annual, summer and autumn rainfall in the southern Andes presents an important interannual variability that is associated with the sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic Ocean while there are limited relationships between rainfall and El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. On the contrary, the interannual temperature variability is mainly related to ENSO events. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:Amazon basin  hydroclimatology  rainfall and temperature trend  climate change  Peru  ENSO  Atlantic SST
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