The impact of climate change on sea level rise at Peninsular Malaysia and Sabah–Sarawak |
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Authors: | Ali Ercan Mohd Fauzi Bin Mohamad M Levent Kavvas |
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Institution: | 1. Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California–Davis, , CA, 95616 USA;2. Hydraulic Laboratory and Instrumentation, National Hydraulic Research Institute of Malaysia, , Selangor Darul Ehasan, Malaysia |
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Abstract: | The sea level change along the Peninsular Malaysia and Sabah–Sarawak coastlines for the 21st century is investigated along the coastal areas of Peninsular Malaysia and Sabah–Sarawak because of the expected climate change during the 21st century. The spatial variation of the sea level change is estimated by assimilating the global mean sea level projections from the Atmosphere–Ocean coupled Global Climate Model/General Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulations to the satellite altimeter observations along the subject coastlines. Using the assimilated AOGCM projections, the sea level around the Peninsular Malaysia coastline is projected to rise with a mean in the range of 0.066 to 0.141 m in 2040 and 0.253 m to 0.517 m in 2100. Using the assimilated AOGCM projections, the sea level around Sabah–Sarawak coastlines is projected to rise with a mean in the range of 0.115 m to 0.291 m in 2040 and 0.432 m to 1.064 m in 2100. The highest sea level rise occurs at the northeast and northwest regions in Peninsular Malaysia and at north and east sectors of Sabah in Sabah–Sarawak coastline. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
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Keywords: | sea level rise climate change Atmosphere– Ocean coupled Global Climate Model General Circulation Model satellite altimeter |
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