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极地海洋环境评价理论与方法初探
引用本文:王文娟,宋巍,郑小罗,黄冬梅,朱建刚,魏新宇.极地海洋环境评价理论与方法初探[J].极地研究,2018,30(4):439-446.
作者姓名:王文娟  宋巍  郑小罗  黄冬梅  朱建刚  魏新宇
作者单位:1. 上海海洋大学信息学院, 上海 201306;; 2. 农业部渔业信息重点实验室, 上海 201306;; 3. 中国极地研究中心, 上海 200136
基金项目:海洋公益性行业科研专项(201405031-05)、上海市高校特聘教授(东方学者)项目(TP201638)和上海市科委地方院校能力建设项目(17050501900)资助
摘    要:极地海洋环境评价对于极地海洋生态系统保护尤为重要。由于对极地极端恶劣环境的监测能力不足,缺乏长期连续监测数据,极地海洋环境评价变得异常困难。针对目前极地海洋环境评价目标和评价因子均缺乏的情况,在已有文献基础上,本文提出了海水表层叶绿素浓度、海冰覆盖范围、海水表层温度和盐度四个极地海洋环境决定因子,分析了海冰覆盖范围与月份之间高度拟合的三次多项式分布关系,并在此基础上构建了极地海洋环境评价模型,最后提出了一种验证该模型的方法。基于第30、31、32次南极科考获取的海水表层叶绿素浓度、温度、盐度数据以及美国国家冰雪数据中心提供的对应时间内的海冰覆盖范围数据对提出的评价模型和方法进行了验证,实验结果表明:该评价模型及其验证方法具有有效性,根据评价结果能判定某个时间段内极地海洋环境相对于基准时间的变化趋势。

关 键 词:极地海洋  环境评价  评价模型  
收稿时间:2017-11-14

Preliminary study on polar marine environmental assessment theory and method
Wang Wenjuan,Song Wei,Zheng Xiaoluo,Huang Dongmei,Zhu Jiangang,Wei Xinyu.Preliminary study on polar marine environmental assessment theory and method[J].Chinese Journal of Polar Research,2018,30(4):439-446.
Authors:Wang Wenjuan  Song Wei  Zheng Xiaoluo  Huang Dongmei  Zhu Jiangang  Wei Xinyu
Abstract:Marine environmental assessment is critical for marine ecosystem protection. Because of the harsh en-vironment and lack of continuous monitoring data, it is extremely difficult to evaluate the polar marine en-vironment. In view of the lack of assessment criteria specific for the polar marine environment, this study conducted a literature review and examined four characteristics of the polar marine environment: sea surface chlorophyll concentration, sea ice extent, sea surface temperature and salinity. A polar marine environmental assessment model is proposed, integrating the four characteristics as independent variables in a cubic polynomial function to describe the relationship between sea ice extent and month of the year. A validation method is presented and was used to test and verify the assessment model using sea surface chlorophyll concentration, temperature and salinity data collected on the 30th, 31st, and 32nd Chinese National Antarctic Research Expeditions and sea ice extent data downloaded from the National Snow and Ice Data Center of the United States. Results demonstrated the effectiveness of the assessment model and its validation method, and showed that the model can be used to determine the trend of polar marine environments relative to specified baselines.
Keywords:polar marine  environmental assessment  assessment model  
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