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丹东地区地质灾害气象预警系统
引用本文:李慧琳,宫焕盛,韩卫东.丹东地区地质灾害气象预警系统[J].气象与环境学报,2007,23(1):12-16.
作者姓名:李慧琳  宫焕盛  韩卫东
作者单位:丹东市气象局 丹东118000
基金项目:辽宁省气象局“丹东地区地质灾害气象预警指标的研究”项目资助.
摘    要:利用1974—2003年凤城、宽甸地区地质灾害实地调查资料和同期常规气象资料,分析了丹东北部山区地质构造特点及各类地质灾害发育的一般规律,讨论了强降雨尤其是暴雨对地质灾害发生的影响,在此基础上提取了相关因子,应用多元线性回归方法,建立了丹东地区地质灾害预报方程和丹东市地质灾害气象预警系统。通过2004年汛期的初步试用,证明该系统具有较好的预报能力。

关 键 词:地质灾害  降水  气象预警系统  
收稿时间:2006-2-28
修稿时间:2006-02-282006-07-20

Research on meteorological early-warning system of geologic disaster in Dandong area
LI Huilin,GONG Huansheng,HAN Weidong.Research on meteorological early-warning system of geologic disaster in Dandong area[J].Journal of Meteorology and Environment,2007,23(1):12-16.
Authors:LI Huilin  GONG Huansheng  HAN Weidong
Institution:Dandong Meteorological Bureau;Dandong 118000
Abstract:According to the examples of the geologic disasters from 1974 to 2003 and meteorological data in the same periods in Dandong area,the geologic structure features and the general laws of geologic disasters development were analyzed in northeastern Dandong.The effects of heavy rainfall on geologic disasters were discussed,especially rainstorm.In term of correlative factors,the geologic disaster prediction method and its meteorological early-warning system were set up with linear regression analysis,which were first applied to the flood season in 2004.The results indicated that this system was suitable to geologic disaster forecast.
Keywords:Geologic disaster  Rainfall  Meteorological earlywarning system
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