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The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the municipal level: Evidence from floodplain management programs in the United States
Authors:John Posey  
Institution:aEast-West Gateway Council of Governments, 1 Memorial Drive Suite 1600, St. Louis, MO 63102, USA
Abstract:This article provides a quantitative test of the relationship between adaptive capacity and socio-economic status (SES) at the municipal level. Local participation in a U.S. floodplain management program, the Community Rating System (CRS), is used as an indicator of adaptive capacity. The relationship between aggregated measures of SES and CRS participation is tested using probit, OLS and tobit models. The analysis indicates that socio-economic characteristics of a municipality's population are associated with the capacity of municipal leaders to effect collective action in response to environmental challenges. More theoretical work and case studies are needed to fully explain the reasons for this association.
Keywords:Climate change  Adaptive capacity  Cities
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