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云南省工业试点县耕地数量变化特征及其驱动力分析——以兰坪县为例
引用本文:秦国真,杨润高.云南省工业试点县耕地数量变化特征及其驱动力分析——以兰坪县为例[J].云南地理环境研究,2010,22(5):82-87.
作者姓名:秦国真  杨润高
作者单位:云南财经大学城市与资源管理学院,云南昆明650092
摘    要:根据兰坪县2001~2008年的统计资料,对兰坪县耕地数量变化的影响因素进行了研究。应用灰色关联分析的方法,定量地诊断出各影响因素与耕地数量变化的关联度,然后依据关联度的大小,从诸因素中找出主要影响因素以及次要影响因素,并在此基础上提出建议,以促进耕地资源的可持续利用。研究表明:总人口的增加,农业科技的应用和农业经济结构的调整以及经济的发展是近8年来兰坪县耕地面积变化的主要影响因素。

关 键 词:耕地数量变化  灰色系统  兰坪县

STUDY ON CHARACTERISTICS OF THE QUANTITY OF CULTIVATED LAND CHANGES AND ITS DRIVING FORCE ANALYSIS IN THE INDUSTRIAL AND EXPERIMENTAL COUNTY OF YUNNAN PROVINCE——A CASE OF LANPING COUNTY IN YUNNAN
QIN Guo-zhen,YANG Run-gao.STUDY ON CHARACTERISTICS OF THE QUANTITY OF CULTIVATED LAND CHANGES AND ITS DRIVING FORCE ANALYSIS IN THE INDUSTRIAL AND EXPERIMENTAL COUNTY OF YUNNAN PROVINCE——A CASE OF LANPING COUNTY IN YUNNAN[J].Yunnan Geographic Environment Research,2010,22(5):82-87.
Authors:QIN Guo-zhen  YANG Run-gao
Institution:(Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,School of Urban ManagementAnd Resources Enviroment,Kunming 650221,Yunnan,China)
Abstract:According to statistics of the period 2001~2008,this article studied factors that influenced Lanping Country's quantity of cultivated land changes.In application to grey relational analysis,the authors quantitatively diagnosed with various influence factors of the quantity of cultivated land,and then find out the main influence factors and secondary factors.Finally,the author proposed recommendations to promote the sustainable use of cultivated land resources based on those factors.The results show that:overall population increase,the application of agricultural technology and agricultural economic restructuring,economic development and the country's farmland policies are the main factors of the quantity of cultivated land changes of Lanping County in the last eight years.
Keywords:the quantity of cultivated land changes  grey relational analysis  Lanping County
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