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北天山重点监视区水化学中短期前兆指标探索
引用本文:许秋龙,卢静芳.北天山重点监视区水化学中短期前兆指标探索[J].内陆地震,1999,13(2):153-161.
作者姓名:许秋龙  卢静芳
作者单位:新疆维吾尔自治区地震局!乌鲁木齐,830011,新疆维吾尔自治区地震局!乌鲁木齐,830011
基金项目:中国地震局“九五”攻关课题!96-913-01-01-13
摘    要:为了实现中国地震局“九五”重点攻关项目“中短期前兆识别方法、标识体系和评价研究”提出的目标,对北天山重点监视区1980 ̄1997年的水化学观测进行了全时域的扫描分析,用差分求和法对资料异常进行了识别,结果表明:差分求和法能有效识别异常和提取地震中短期前兆指标,结果表明:差分求和法能有效识别异常和提取地震中短期前兆指标,用该方法检出的异常判定指标信度较高。

关 键 词:水化学  中期异常  短期异常  地震前兆  预报指标

EXPLORATION OF HYDROCHEMICAL MEDIUM-, SHORT-TERM PRECURSOR INDEXES IN NORTH TIANSHAN FOCAL MONITORING AREA
Xu Qiulong, Lu Jingfang.EXPLORATION OF HYDROCHEMICAL MEDIUM-, SHORT-TERM PRECURSOR INDEXES IN NORTH TIANSHAN FOCAL MONITORING AREA[J].Inland Earthquake,1999,13(2):153-161.
Authors:Xu Qiulong  Lu Jingfang
Institution:Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Urumqi 83OO11
Abstract:The recognition method, index system and evaluation research of medium-,short-termprecursor"is a ma jor project of CSB in the ninth five-year plan. In order to attain the goal putforward by it, the 198O ~ l997 hydrochemical observational data of North Tianshan focalmonitoring area are made a scanning analysis in total time domain, and the anomalies con-tained in the data are recognized by using difference accumulation method. The result showsthat difference accumulation method can recognize anomalies effectively and extract medi-um-,short-term precursor indexes, and that the extracted indexes have higher credibility.
Keywords:Hydrochemistry Medium-term anomaly Short-term anomaly Earthquake precursor Prediction indcx Anomaly recognition Differential method
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