| 台风登陆华南年频次的投影寻踪回归预测模型 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 李祚泳,邓新民,桑华民.台风登陆华南年频次的投影寻踪回归预测模型[J].热带气象学报,1998,14(2):181-185. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 李祚泳 邓新民 桑华民 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 成都气象学院 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 四川省应用基础研究基金 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 根据历史资料，应用投影寻踪回归（ＰＰＲ）的基本思想和算法，建立了台风季节台风登陆华南年频次的ＰＰＲ预测模型。结果表明ＰＰＲ模型的预测精度优于逐步回归建模的预测精度。
|
| 关 键 词： | 台风 台风预报 投影寻踪 回归预测模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 3/3/1997 12:00:00 AM |
| 修稿时间： | 7/3/1997 12:00:00 AM |
FORECASTING MODEL OF NUMBERS OF LANDED TYPHOON BASED ON PROJECTION PURSUIT REGRESSION |
| |
| Li Zuoyong,Deng Xinmin and Sang Huaminn.FORECASTING MODEL OF NUMBERS OF LANDED TYPHOON BASED ON PROJECTION PURSUIT REGRESSION[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,1998,14(2):181-185. |
| |
| Authors: | Li Zuoyong Deng Xinmin and Sang Huaminn |
| |
| Institution: | Chengdu Institute of Meteorology, Chengdu, 610041;Chengdu Institute of Meteorology, Chengdu, 610041;Chengdu Institute of Meteorology, Chengdu, 610041 |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on the historical data,a forecasting model of numbers of landed typhoon in South China is proposed using the original idea and its implement algorithm of projection pursuit regression (PPR) during the yearly season |
| |
| Keywords: | Typhoon Forecast of typhoon Projection pursuit Projection pursuit regression |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《热带气象学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《热带气象学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
